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Hivos ToC Guidelines: THEORY OF CHANGE THINKING IN PRACTICE – A stepwise approach

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Marjan van Es (Hivos), Irene Guijt, Isabel Vogel, 2015.  Available as pdf [2]
PART A – CONCEPTS AND DEFINITION
1 Introduction
1.1 Hivos and Theory of Change
1.2 Origin of the guidelines
1.3 Use of the guidelines
2 Theory of Change
2.1 What are Theories of Change? What is a ToC approach?
2.2 Why a Theory of Change approach?
2.3 Core components of a ToC process and product
2.4 Theories of Change at different levels
2.5 Using ToC thinking for different purposes
3 Key features of a ToC process
3.1 From complexity to focus and back
3.2 Making assumptions explicit
3.3 The importance of visualisation
4 Quality of ToC practice
4.1 Principles of ToC practice
4.2 Power at play
4.3 Gender (in)equality
PART B – A STEPWISE APPROACH
5 Developing Theories of Change – eight steps Introduction
• Step 1 – Clarify the purpose of the ToC process
• Step 2 – Describe the desired change
• Step 3 – Analyse the current situation
• Step 4 – Identify domains of change
• Step 5 – Identify strategic priorities
• Step 6 – Map pathways of change
• Step 7 – Define monitoring, evaluation and learning priorities and process
• Step 8 – Use and adaptation of a ToC
6 ToC as a product
7 Quality Audit of a ToC process and product
PART C – RESOURCES AND TOOLS
8 Key tools, resources and materials
8.1 Tools referred to in these guidelines
• Rich Picture
• Four Dimensions of Change
• Celebrating success
• Stakeholder and Actor Analysis
• Power Analysis
• Gender Analysis
• Framings
• Behaviour change
• Ritual dissent
• Three Spheres: Control, Influence, Interest
• Necessary & Sufficient
• Indicator selection
• Visualisations of a ToC process and product
8.2 Other resources
8.3 Facilitation

Rick Davies comment: I have not had a chance to read the whole document, but I would suggest changes to the section on page 109 titled Sufficient and Necessary

A branch of a Theory of Change (in a tree shaped version) or a pathway (in a network version) can represent a sequence of events that is either:

Because of these different interpretations and their consequences we should expect a ToC to state clearly the status of each branch in terms of its Necessity and/or Sufficiency